Entries Categorized as 'Analysis'

Greenlight Capital’s Detailed Presentation on GMCR

Date October 19, 2011

On Monday, Greenlight Capital (of David Einhorn fame) threw up a presentation  on a stock that was, before that day, an investor darling: Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR). This is a US listed company. Post the presentation the stock absolutely tanked, down 10% first and then, down 15% yesterday. Greenlight’s 110 presentation talks in detail  [...]

Is the Indian Internet a Bubble?

Date August 3, 2011

With the valuation at Flipkart going to $1bn, that is the question. $1bn is 4,500 crores, more than the other "real" internet company listed in India, Info Edge, which is currently valued at about 4,000 cr. $1bn, for a company with less than 100 cr. in FY11, with potentially some losses.Mahesh Murthy writes at Tehelka [...]

Nifty Stocks Below Short Term MAs: Peak?

Date July 21, 2011

I’ve mentioned this in the MarketVision Chronicle earlier (See this note) that when the Net Number of stocks above short term moving averages tops or bottoms out it usually indicates a short term market move. (Net stocks = Number of stocks above MINUS number of stocks below; I take the 5 day average of this figure to smoothen it out, for short term MAs, and a 10 day average for the long term MAs).

Stocks Above Moving Averages, Bottoms Out

Date May 28, 2011

Two interesting charts: of the Net Nifty stocks above short and long term moving averages:   (Click for larger pictures) I created them – using some code and downloaded data. Turns out the 20 DMA line – red on the left chart – has bottomed out for this cycle and the longer term MA charts [...]